Tennis · resolved market
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Alina Charaeva vs Mina Hodzic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b4559e9840eaff560b7ac0c59774f398af49dac21cc1e99dfc5eeadc2be134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Charaevaof Alina Charaeva, Mina Hodzic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alina Charaeva | 79c | 10,063$7,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.94 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mina Hodzic | 21c | 7,184$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.06 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alina Charaeva | 75c | 5,450$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.08 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mina Hodzic | 16c | 2,698$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.29 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Mina Hodzic | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mina Hodzic | 15c | 281.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mina Hodzic | 10c | 209.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alina Charaeva | 76c | 194.07$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Mina Hodzic | 11c | 193.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Alina Charaeva | 78c | 167.74$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Mina Hodzic | 17c | 141.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Alina Charaeva | 80c | 130.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Mina Hodzic | 13c | 121.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Mina Hodzic | 12c | 119.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Alina Charaeva | 77c | 110.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 299 | 58.5%175 W · 124 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…4a42backed Mina Hodzic | 16c | 95.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Mina Hodzic | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Alina Charaeva | 71c | 61.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Alina Charaeva | 78c | 56.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Alina Charaeva | 77c | 49.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Alina Charaeva | 80c | 44.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Alina Charaeva | 78c | 43.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Alina Charaeva | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…d49abacked Alina Charaeva | 73c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.