CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b991d4be9a18ef0c2b5e81d80037d03a0fb0523f6198a76ba6fd60d948e2b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked NRG | 58c | 362.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.08 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked NRG | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked M80 | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NRG | 14c | 257.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 79c | 222.45$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed NRG | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked M80 | 63c | 199.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed M80 | 66c | 106.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed M80 | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed NRG | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…cfd0backed NRG | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NRG | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed NRG | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed M80 | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked M80 | 64c | 62.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74f…c23ebacked NRG | 37c | 62.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed M80 | 50c | 60.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked NRG | 40c | 29.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed M80 | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.