Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jenson Brooksby vs James Kent Trotter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf75fa49ed417055dcd544927180b51cc0f75bc6193414d8e2607ebefab3be9d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brooksbyof Brooksby, Trotter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trotter | 25c | 3,400$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brooksby | 76c | 2,185$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.04 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brooksby | 75c | 1,700$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Trotter | 24c | 1,097$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.77 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brooksby | 75c | 1,050$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.51 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trotter | 24c | 975.01$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Brooksby | 77c | 435.06$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Brooksby | 76c | 362.22$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Brooksby | 73c | 272.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Trotter | 28c | 260.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Trotter | 26c | 243.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Brooksby | 72c | 213.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trotter | 27c | 188.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Trotter | 24c | 171$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Brooksby | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brooksby | 78c | 128.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Brooksby | 77c | 90.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Trotter | 21c | 74.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Trotter | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Brooksby | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.