Tennis · resolved market
Bunschoten: Filippo Romano vs Daniel Galan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf796a50c8635872015f635772cadf78a3f820662b184c43843c1cf0b07632cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Galanof Filippo Romano, Daniel Galan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Filippo Romano | 13c | 1,823$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Filippo Romano | 34c | 732.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 736 | 40.9%301 W · 435 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Filippo Romano | 6c | 683.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Filippo Romano | 32c | 527.87$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.92 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Filippo Romano | 8c | 387.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 1,837 | 46.5%855 W · 982 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Daniel Galan | 68c | 357$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 1,424 | 42.8%610 W · 814 L | -32.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Filippo Romano | 13c | 310.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Daniel Galan | 66c | 287.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Filippo Romano | 34c | 257.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Daniel Galan | 80c | 221.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Filippo Romano | 15c | 193.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Filippo Romano | 15c | 191.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 762 | 12.1%92 W · 670 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Daniel Galan | 68c | 171.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Galan | 66c | 162.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Daniel Galan | 67c | 113.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 888 | 58%515 W · 373 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Filippo Romano | 13c | 111.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Daniel Galan | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 569 | 53.8%306 W · 263 L | +20.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Filippo Romano | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Filippo Romano | 33c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Daniel Galan | 72c | 34.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Filippo Romano | 33c | 32.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Daniel Galan | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Daniel Galan | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Daniel Galan | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 2,347 | 52.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L | +86.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Daniel Galan | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2,101 | 54.2%1,139 W · 962 L | +65.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.