Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf83cf2b7caadc9ca904aaf352372ab6c915c4f622b6752dea9488cdf5ba819bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Moyne Dolphinsof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Le Moyne Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 33c | 1,705$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 66c | 1,107$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…5ac1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 36c | 991.94$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 36c | 763.23$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 73c | 500.88$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 416.68$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 36c | 399.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 34c | 336.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 313.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 36c | 297.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 68c | 295.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 62c | 271.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 244.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 197.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 67c | 197.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 155.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 63c | 113.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 36c | 112.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 34c | 111.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73f…dc1bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2750…71a5backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…f69dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 99.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…9813backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 99.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 99.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…4913backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…deb6backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 94.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941c…5db9backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631b…de86backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 89.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…84b5backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…02b1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 85.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 37c | 80.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 78.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…b4adbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 76.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 71c | 65.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 55.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 36c | 47.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 45.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 45.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 33c | 38.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 36c | 35.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 40c | 31.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 40c | 28.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 24.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsthis page
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-4.5)Le Moyne Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.