Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8785503aeebc0c5b69661b64f35146c8ffad3f8f12d1f65c2a47cf4343a7159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40b9…a596backed No | 10c | 1,113$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 73c | 1,041$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.45 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 72c | 689.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 30c | 582.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 538.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 28c | 499.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 3c | 487.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 20c | 410.52$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 22c | 322.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 28c | 246.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 8c | 232$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 72c | 163.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 157.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 18c | 145.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 142.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 79c | 137$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 73c | 112.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 27c | 108.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed No | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 16c | 88.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 72c | 79.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 29c | 54.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 51.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 27c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Yes | 69c | 45.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Yes | 70c | 32.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Yes | 78c | 22.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Yes | 69c | 22.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 71c | 22.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 70c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Connah's Quay Nomads FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will FC Ballkani vs. Connah's Quay Nomads FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.