Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $250 September 29-October 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a6370b0645f3f8777af03b5552eac8a8a674885c0700d844772d6445eddf29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 2c | 13,555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.18 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 10c | 6,797$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.64 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,087$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…161fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 27c | 1,881$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.12 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 76c | 1,759$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.58 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…51e8backed Yes | 7c | 1,513$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…f463backed Yes | 16c | 633.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…f612backed Yes | 25c | 483.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…3fdabacked Yes | 8c | 259.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…6d1cbacked Yes | 8c | 245.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…bbe3backed Yes | 6c | 219.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…23efbacked Yes | 10c | 188.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Yes | 12c | 120.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 15c | 91.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $250 September 29-October 5?this page
- Will Solana dip to $160 September 29-October 5?No won
- Will Solana dip to $180 September 29-October 5?No won
- Will Solana dip to $190 September 29-October 5?No won
- Will Solana dip to $200 September 29-October 5?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 September 29-October 5?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $230 September 29-October 5?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 September 29-October 5?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 September 29-October 5?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 September 29-October 5?No won
- Will Solana reach $280 September 29-October 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.