Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d862734cb4616af0b7abf1c16498ed17b72de73bb2090188518e6e9b1f9bf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QoRof M80, QoR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed QoR | 37c | 1,893$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.37 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed QoR | 38c | 1,342$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.18 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed QoR | 35c | 1,105$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.27 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…e1c2backed M80 | 62c | 808.5$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed M80 | 66c | 794.5$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed M80 | 63c | 714.59$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed M80 | 63c | 375.39$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.92 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed M80 | 63c | 253.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…d57dbacked QoR | 39c | 247.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed M80 | 62c | 231$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed M80 | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed M80 | 63c | 205.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed M80 | 61c | 175.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8852…4963backed M80 | 65c | 159$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked M80 | 66c | 152.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed M80 | 63c | 147.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…e00fbacked QoR | 37c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked M80 | 63c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked M80 | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked QoR | 34c | 56.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed QoR | 36c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed M80 | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QoR | 43c | 42.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…2199backed M80 | 62c | 41.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 61c | 32.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked M80 | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed M80 | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked M80 | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed M80 | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked M80 | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed M80 | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed M80 | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.