Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb560f67844d5179532545e65727183aeb7c2824791fdc6a144234d0acebbc39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 3,392$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.47 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 1,934$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.36 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,134$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 26c | 839.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Yes | 27c | 468.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 262.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 203.28$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Yes | 37c | 202.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 177.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6474backed Yes | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 169.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 132.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 74c | 132.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 74c | 132.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 74.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…ba5dbacked Yes | 27c | 58.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 79c | 46.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 29.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 64c | 23.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…625fbacked No | 74c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.