TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens62c4,637$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.7770249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Sharks35c4,443$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.5632331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks49c4,148$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.651,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Sharks41c4,137$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.2685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Canadiens67c2,819$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.96465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks33c2,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6701,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks37c1,846$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.731,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Sharks38c1,705$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.822259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens51c1,563$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.873,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Sharks20c1,138$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.648744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sharks59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…bbcbbacked Canadiens62c899.93$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Canadiens61c899.88$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.9531849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Canadiens61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+44.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Canadiens45c769.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.548950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe20…4d3ebacked Sharks39c627.66$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc31e…82cdbacked Canadiens59c509.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks40c504.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Canadiens65c406.15$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.152050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…50c7backed Sharks35c375$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Canadiens63c369.05$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x324a…d868backed Sharks13c353.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sharks38c287.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Sharks41c260$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.62050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks31c220$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Canadiens62c210.66$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.055752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Sharks24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Canadiens62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens58c172$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Canadiens59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.497044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Canadiens60c167.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9320751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Sharks42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd361…3885backed Canadiens62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…da14backed Sharks40c147.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens66c145.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4354418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ae…0a9cbacked Sharks38c140.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…43f0backed Sharks38c138.26$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sharks38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Sharks39c128.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75d…af86backed Sharks40c124.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks38c122.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…fd50backed Sharks38c119.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.571118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-68.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sharks39c114.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.560549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddc…ca7ebacked Canadiens62c103.19$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf3…c359backed Sharks39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Canadiens78c100.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.439553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Sharks20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbed…c35ebacked Canadiens62c99.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Canadiens61c99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a3f…63c7backed Canadiens63c86.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.031050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0c…f457backed Canadiens63c85.05$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.471050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceba…b645backed Canadiens63c76.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Sharks52c76.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4045954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Canadiens66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.768254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a6…7f82backed Canadiens63c70.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.261030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73e…592ebacked Canadiens62c68.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb205…5fbbbacked Canadiens63c66.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens60c66.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4335545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Sharks39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Canadiens59c60.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Sharks48c57.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6238040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f2…2de4backed Canadiens63c54.62$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Sharks22c54.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Sharks37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Sharks37c53.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9376450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sharks39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Canadiens60c50.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2548149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Sharks38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Canadiens62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1911951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Sharks40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf15…547abacked Sharks38c42.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Canadiens47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5572448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3726backed Canadiens61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.982642.3%11 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ea…2dd0backed Canadiens63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.682857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9af…06bcbacked Canadiens67c38.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc485…e765backed Canadiens60c38.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Sharks40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0f…e43bbacked Canadiens64c35.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks38c33.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Canadiens61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Canadiens63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7525358.5%148 W · 105 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92a0…4831backed Sharks39c31.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.443545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa95…acfebacked Sharks38c31.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Sharks39c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.098627.9%24 W · 62 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x621b…b69fbacked Canadiens60c30.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022d…731abacked Sharks40c30.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff4…3784backed Canadiens62c30.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e09…86a4backed Canadiens43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa461…8724backed Canadiens62c29.05$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aef…0fc0backed Canadiens61c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc4…a371backed Sharks36c27.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb235…3739backed Sharks38c27.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e25…650abacked Sharks40c27.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2dc…6612backed Canadiens60c27.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7483…a7c1backed Canadiens64c27.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x358e…df13backed Sharks38c26.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x667b…486ebacked Canadiens62c26.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Canadiens62c25.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8115549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb88…30ebbacked Canadiens62c25.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b7…00c8backed Canadiens62c24.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.