Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: WIP Esports vs Caldya Esport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb88701ec0580f5b81f0eb00df89802bdbc01576b934a6940df53bb0ab4bb154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof WIP Esports, Caldya Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked WIP Esports | 71c | 2,296$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.23 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Caldya Esport | 14c | 812.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Caldya Esport | 10c | 799.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Caldya Esport | 61c | 483.6$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Caldya Esport | 26c | 464.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Caldya Esport | 14c | 284.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked WIP Esports | 67c | 262.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Caldya Esport | 38c | 204.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Caldya Esport | 32c | 164.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Caldya Esport | 39c | 139.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…613bbacked WIP Esports | 79c | 129.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Caldya Esport | 16c | 129.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Caldya Esport | 20c | 123.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Caldya Esport | 28c | 112.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Caldya Esport | 14c | 108.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1718…2779backed WIP Esports | 73c | 104.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked WIP Esports | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Caldya Esport | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Caldya Esport | 14c | 94.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Caldya Esport | 31c | 80.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked WIP Esports | 77c | 78.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Caldya Esport | 17c | 78.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Caldya Esport | 27c | 77.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Caldya Esport | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Caldya Esport | 19c | 63.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Caldya Esport | 21c | 62.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Caldya Esport | 38c | 48.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WIP Esports | 60c | 41.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Caldya Esport | 38c | 40.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked WIP Esports | 74c | 27.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked WIP Esports | 72c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: WIP Esports vs Caldya Esport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: WIP Esports vs Caldya Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonWIP Esports won
- Valorant: WIP Esports vs Caldya Esport - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.