Tennis · resolved market
ITF Caserta: Francesca Pace vs Luisina Giovannini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb8ccfe6b40af7f7711e20517c438a777f5acef02f5829bfcac123b7e04084b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francesca Paceof Francesca Pace, Luisina Giovannini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Pace | 53c | 3,403$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Luisina Giovannini | 68c | 1,287$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.1 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luisina Giovannini | 3c | 1,147$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Luisina Giovannini | 70c | 901.64$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.11 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Francesca Pace | 38c | 517.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.68 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Francesca Pace | 34c | 378.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.52 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Francesca Pace | 56c | 253.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Francesca Pace | 13c | 246.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.15 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Francesca Pace | 67c | 230.44$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Francesca Pace | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Luisina Giovannini | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Francesca Pace | 12c | 109.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Francesca Pace | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Francesca Pace | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Francesca Pace | 45c | 93.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Francesca Pace | 13c | 77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Francesca Pace | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 183 | 30.1%55 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Luisina Giovannini | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luisina Giovannini | 43c | 55.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Luisina Giovannini | 78c | 53.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Francesca Pace | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Luisina Giovannini | 75c | 37.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Francesca Pace | 75c | 24.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luisina Giovannini | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.