Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: California Golden Bears (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9e00097ba5b241ab81530a2d86b8116bd2e3072e16726111e54740277f3895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Golden Bearsof California Golden Bears, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,588 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 53c | 5,690$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.77 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed California Golden Bears | 48c | 3,993$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.05 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 49c | 3,965$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.86 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Golden Bears | 47c | 2,904$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 54c | 1,836$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.31 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked California Golden Bears | 48c | 1,240$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.96 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked California Golden Bears | 46c | 727.09$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.46 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California Golden Bears | 47c | 657.44$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 52c | 437.15$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked California Golden Bears | 51c | 374.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked California Golden Bears | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 53c | 75.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California Golden Bears | 46c | 43.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 51c | 43.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…21e7backed California Golden Bears | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California Golden Bears | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed California Golden Bears | 49c | 30.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 53c | 30.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: California Golden Bears (-2.5)this page
- California Golden Bears vs. Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsCalifornia Golden Bears won
- Spread: California Golden Bears (-3.5)California Golden Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.