Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba7f01b622dbfe1e47199ded36a79c801c7444a6d16ebd64799395874a3e401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof Eintracht Frankfurt, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed FOKUS | 49c | 1,837$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.59 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 50c | 1,696$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.91 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked FOKUS | 20c | 733$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 45c | 193.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed FOKUS | 55c | 182.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 73c | 60.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed FOKUS | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed FOKUS | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS | 55c | 48.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 45c | 46.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked FOKUS | 42c | 46.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FOKUS | 58c | 21.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageEintracht Frankfurt won
- Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.