Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho Vandals vs. San Diego Toreros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbaa4e609b54a0867543244c09d5eb3a46eb5842c3bab367b709cb398ad672a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Torerosof Idaho Vandals, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Idaho Vandals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Toreros | 48c | 797.17$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Diego Toreros | 48c | 722$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.34 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed San Diego Toreros | 49c | 639$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Idaho Vandals | 54c | 170.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Toreros | 48c | 107$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…1044backed Idaho Vandals | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…6e77backed Idaho Vandals | 53c | 91.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Idaho Vandals | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…076ebacked Idaho Vandals | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Idaho Vandals | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked Idaho Vandals | 53c | 33.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Idaho Vandals | 53c | 23.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed San Diego Toreros | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.