Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbd54d36f603723fe951a2b0dfa71b86433fef9abc2e1c6bbb34f773963313ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Illinois Huskiesof Buffalo Bulls, Northern Illinois Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.55 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 1,553$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 52c | 1,080$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.36 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 929.49$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 574$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 56c | 567.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.92 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 446.68$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 285.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…8e68backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Buffalo Bulls | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 55c | 181.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 53c | 175.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Buffalo Bulls | 46c | 88.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 86.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…c4a9backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Buffalo Bulls | 49c | 42.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 52c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Northern Illinois Huskies | 56c | 24.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Northern Illinois Huskies | 52c | 24.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-9.5)this page
- Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Buffalo BullsNorthern Illinois Huskies won
- Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Buffalo Bulls (-8.5)Northern Illinois Huskies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.