Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbdf0b28977f7278aafe5062df526bed04fcaf9cdd4341c0a30b436150a2dcd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Brannof SK Brann, Hamarkameratene
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x298b…f406backed SK Brann | 42c | 3,790$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hamarkameratene | 58c | 1,673$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.05 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Hamarkameratene | 57c | 1,086$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.36 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hamarkameratene | 59c | 993.33$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked SK Brann | 39c | 777.82$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.47 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hamarkameratene | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked SK Brann | 55c | 352.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hamarkameratene | 63c | 133.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hamarkameratene | 61c | 54.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked SK Brann | 39c | 48.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Hamarkameratene | 60c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Hamarkameratene | 60c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked SK Brann | 39c | 30.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hamarkameratene | 61c | 30.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Hamarkameratene | 60c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hamarkameratene | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)this page
- SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: SK Brann O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: SK Brann (-2.5)SK Brann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.