Euroleague · resolved market
Partizan vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc80791e68902ea170c4fcd4bc36bdda75302e4af20d65f95e47826c870bf2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizanof Partizan, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Partizan | 78c | 1,484$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Partizan | 57c | 972.28$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monaco | 29c | 942.72$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.01 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Monaco | 4c | 763.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Partizan | 48c | 634.7$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.03 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Monaco | 53c | 571.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Monaco | 53c | 453.14$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.13 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…9fc1backed Monaco | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Partizan | 47c | 332.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Monaco | 5c | 314.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Monaco | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Monaco | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Partizan | 47c | 183$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Monaco | 33c | 172.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Monaco | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monaco | 54c | 149.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Monaco | 53c | 126.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Partizan | 47c | 126$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Monaco | 52c | 110.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Monaco | 52c | 105.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Monaco | 43c | 94.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Partizan | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…a0b8backed Monaco | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Monaco | 46c | 74.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…89acbacked Monaco | 52c | 60.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Partizan | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Partizan | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Monaco | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Partizan | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Monaco | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Monaco | 47c | 33.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3299…a703backed Partizan | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Partizan | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.