Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc9da6843389a932aa5d73cddcd84577069afe692fd63c5dcf20737d46425abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 5,771$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 3,580$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 595$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.8 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 551$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.63 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 510.84$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 39c | 500$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 37c | 469.77$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.9 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 337.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…7470backed Yes | 37c | 333.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 38c | 332.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 58c | 312.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 37c | 310.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 250.07$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 61c | 182.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 180.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 39c | 178$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 63c | 171.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 170.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 162.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 63c | 151.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…b45fbacked Yes | 31c | 94.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 62c | 93.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 84.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 47c | 76.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 64.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 63c | 59.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 62c | 59.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 37c | 54.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 61c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 63c | 45.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 37c | 36.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 35c | 33.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 45c | 27.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 25.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 58c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-21?No won
- Will Southampton FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.