Europa Conference League · resolved market
NK Celje vs. FC Drita: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcd9197351b95036c781e819e61c05bdf75f44e52a5628131fdb12d5063a17ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 1,312$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.68 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 54c | 556.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Yes | 55c | 549.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 497.76$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Yes | 53c | 377.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 315.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 61c | 238.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 50c | 199.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 52c | 190.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 53c | 188.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 176.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 161.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 46c | 144.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 112.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…1ec3backed Yes | 49c | 112.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…df4cbacked No | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 54c | 93.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…85c0backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +321.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 43c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 83.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 73.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 69.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 50c | 61.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 50c | 60.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Yes | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 50c | 49.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 46c | 41.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…c496backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…7667backed Yes | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 52c | 32.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 48c | 29.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 21.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NK Celje vs. FC Drita: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- NK Celje vs. FC Drita: O/U 1.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. FC Drita: O/U 3.5Over won
- NK Celje vs. FC Drita: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)NK Celje won
- Spread: NK Celje (-1.5)FC Drita won
- Spread: NK Celje (-2.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.