Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd08482be0c1293caaba21746e1de50bd338b816fb558989cf7c63ac46494ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walsall FCof Bristol City FC, Walsall FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Bristol City FC | 51c | 12,605$6,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,371.21 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Walsall FC | 50c | 2,770$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.03 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Walsall FC | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Walsall FC | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Walsall FC | 49c | 1,336$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.55 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Walsall FC | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.28 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Walsall FC | 50c | 911.73$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.87 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Walsall FC | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Walsall FC | 80c | 529$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Walsall FC | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Walsall FC | 61c | 376.93$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Walsall FC | 49c | 314.17$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Walsall FC | 49c | 266$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Walsall FC | 52c | 193.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…d4b0backed Bristol City FC | 46c | 193.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Bristol City FC | 32c | 163.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Bristol City FC | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Walsall FC | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…fcefbacked Walsall FC | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Walsall FC | 49c | 38.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…2ca6backed Bristol City FC | 46c | 29.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Walsall FC | 49c | 28.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bristol City FC | 46c | 22.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Walsall FC | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)this page
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: Bristol City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: Walsall FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Walsall FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.