Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff86bcb0331cac4219a249a767ede4cdf8677e4b75a96c36c38be3c2ccdeb906
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 1,345$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.12 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 35c | 820.03$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.21 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…985bbacked Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 220.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 45c | 186.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 25c | 71.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 68c | 64.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Over | 68c | 46.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 68c | 44.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 68c | 42.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Over | 78c | 39.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 66c | 38.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed Under | 42c | 30.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 69c | 27.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 68c | 27.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 67c | 16.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: Bristol City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Walsall FC: Walsall FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Walsall FC won
- Spread: Walsall FC (-1.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.