Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd4c2945664530347caff4ffe69880a66b79bedf6fb48e0378facf647ff1e04b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof Bakersfield Roadrunners, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 11c | 1,490$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8c | 1,170$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 6c | 841.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…b748backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 74c | 763.97$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 9c | 683.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…8e33backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 45c | 674.72$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 33c | 182.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 28c | 168.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 40c | 110.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…6dc1backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 72c | 99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 73c | 58.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…a151backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 35c | 48.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9875…1461backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.