College Football · resolved market
UCF vs. Baylor: O/U 59.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdc6c9d386f7dc280fa2147e2f5de9453d417fb268376b79f7fd0727e8590e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c293backed Over | 49c | 1,121$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…483fbacked Over | 49c | 785$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…1c1ebacked Under | 51c | 657$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…2390backed Under | 51c | 630$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…5a53backed Over | 48c | 544$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…a2fcbacked Under | 52c | 472$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…20b1backed Over | 48c | 443$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…3827backed Over | 49c | 435$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…5794backed Over | 49c | 434$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…4fa0backed Under | 51c | 312$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…a8b2backed Under | 52c | 275$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…21e0backed Under | 51c | 214$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022f…645cbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c64…d791backed Under | 51c | 168$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…9d19backed Under | 51c | 155$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…dda0backed Under | 52c | 152$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…8dcfbacked Under | 51c | 152$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…5a91backed Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc0…4053backed Under | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…8a3bbacked Under | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c9…4e74backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…4f31backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b51…5c96backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCF vs. Baylor: O/U 59.5this page
- O/U 60.5Under won
- Spread: Baylor (-3.5)Baylor won
- UCF vs. BaylorBaylor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.