Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pacific Tigers vs. Washington State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdfd593dc5149be698e1f41cc9b60e2649e769e737cfeaa001a7d30eab9bdb8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington State Cougarsof Pacific Tigers, Washington State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,683 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90a5…c3f1backed Pacific Tigers | 58c | 1,205$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Washington State Cougars | 56c | 470.75$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Pacific Tigers | 6c | 232.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington State Cougars | 45c | 220.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Pacific Tigers | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pacific Tigers | 59c | 169.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Washington State Cougars | 40c | 156$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Washington State Cougars | 48c | 120.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Pacific Tigers | 61c | 97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb34…a600backed Washington State Cougars | 41c | 93.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8d…7a59backed Washington State Cougars | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Pacific Tigers | 52c | 61.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed Pacific Tigers | 52c | 59.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Pacific Tigers | 52c | 56.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Pacific Tigers | 45c | 52.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Washington State Cougars | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pacific Tigers | 59c | 46.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked Washington State Cougars | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Washington State Cougars | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Washington State Cougars | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Pacific Tigers | 58c | 19.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1915…6fcbbacked Pacific Tigers | 58c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Pacific Tigers | 58c | 17.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.