Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier Musketeers vs. Georgia Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe0e95ff77398c7646811779a69949d1fb60a2053472bb1eb15e6551da92cddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Bulldogsof Xavier Musketeers, Georgia Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xavier Musketeers | 10c | 15,657$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.6 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Georgia Bulldogs | 69c | 2,364$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.34 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Xavier Musketeers | 12c | 1,845$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.45 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgia Bulldogs | 65c | 1,705$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.43 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 8c | 1,093$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Xavier Musketeers | 16c | 820$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 550$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Xavier Musketeers | 17c | 341$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Xavier Musketeers | 21c | 328.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 68c | 302.4$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.64 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Xavier Musketeers | 10c | 298.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 67c | 264.35$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Xavier Musketeers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Xavier Musketeers | 14c | 103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Xavier Musketeers | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 65.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Xavier Musketeers | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.