NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe1a625929c207f854704e3d71b5e739f4440fe66ce907c15377f5cf241acb44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Blues, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues | 29c | 3,378$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.74 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Blackhawks | 71c | 3,342$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.3 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blues | 31c | 1,558$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.51 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Blackhawks | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…64e3backed Blues | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bed…54f6backed Blackhawks | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks | 70c | 188$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Blues | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 187.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Blackhawks | 70c | 146.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Blues | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Blackhawks | 69c | 77.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Blues | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blackhawks | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Blackhawks | 72c | 31.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Blackhawks | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Blackhawks | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks won
- Blues vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.