NHL · resolved market
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Chicago Wolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe28024faf6c2b0083abfc713d52b11d2121f95c517d4a4361b93cd282984718
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Wolvesof Colorado Eagles, Chicago Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Colorado Eagles | 67c | 778.09$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.22 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Wolves | 34c | 564.15$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.57 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Chicago Wolves | 31c | 389.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Eagles | 67c | 224.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Colorado Eagles | 70c | 195.41$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Chicago Wolves | 29c | 192$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago Wolves | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Chicago Wolves | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Colorado Eagles | 57c | 82.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colorado Eagles | 71c | 82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chicago Wolves | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Chicago Wolves | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Chicago Wolves | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…f88bbacked Chicago Wolves | 37c | 51.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chicago Wolves | 60c | 34.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Colorado Eagles | 60c | 26.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…1331backed Colorado Eagles | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…592ebacked Chicago Wolves | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…71fcbacked Colorado Eagles | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…7333backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…e010backed Colorado Eagles | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…8626backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Eagles | 55c | 18.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Colorado Eagles | 66c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.