Tennis · resolved market
Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe344d869ade2db0ba65907abe23e2279291604c245b1ae741d2229161c23689
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chloe Paquetof Chloe Paquet, Nika Radisic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nika Radisic | 0c | 12,728$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Nika Radisic | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Nika Radisic | 16c | 1,375$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Nika Radisic | 6c | 1,356$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nika Radisic | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nika Radisic | 14c | 999.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Nika Radisic | 8c | 972.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Nika Radisic | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…5d44backed Nika Radisic | 7c | 426.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nika Radisic | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nika Radisic | 6c | 270$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Nika Radisic | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…8ee7backed Nika Radisic | 11c | 228.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Nika Radisic | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Nika Radisic | 12c | 172.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Nika Radisic | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chloe Paquet | 78c | 82.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Nika Radisic | 22c | 82.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Nika Radisic | 15c | 79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Chloe Paquet | 78c | 31.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.