NHL · resolved market
DEL: Augsburger Panther vs. Dresdner Eisloewen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe435b4b80b80e0e3e315bc4c446d0d3e9a51fc532962a91d2e07abb83d59924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Augsburger Pantherof Augsburger Panther, Dresdner Eisloewen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,941 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 26c | 3,005$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.89 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Augsburger Panther | 74c | 1,502$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.52 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Augsburger Panther | 74c | 1,013$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Augsburger Panther | 75c | 370.45$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 27c | 148.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Augsburger Panther | 73c | 104.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Augsburger Panther | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 25c | 99.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 50c | 78.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…48febacked Augsburger Panther | 74c | 67.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Augsburger Panther | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Augsburger Panther | 50c | 50.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Augsburger Panther | 75c | 49.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Augsburger Panther | 73c | 37.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Augsburger Panther | 78c | 34.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Augsburger Panther | 68c | 21.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Augsburger Panther | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Augsburger Panther | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.