Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Chloe Paquet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb1310dee8526d5b79031a71d8380424f6a24a2c1362144d358808c5f7a18ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paquetof Jacquemot, Paquet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Jacquemot | 31c | 8,279$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Paquet | 63c | 7,487$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.66 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Paquet | 55c | 1,502$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.56 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Paquet | 40c | 947.4$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.09 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Jacquemot | 63c | 769.82$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.94 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paquet | 74c | 670.45$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…a8c4backed Jacquemot | 71c | 515.49$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…9fb8backed Jacquemot | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Paquet | 78c | 371.79$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Jacquemot | 74c | 271.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Jacquemot | 75c | 255.33$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Jacquemot | 42c | 236.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Paquet | 58c | 214$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Paquet | 49c | 206.5$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Paquet | 8c | 192.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Paquet | 36c | 183.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Paquet | 31c | 147.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Jacquemot | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Jacquemot | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Paquet | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Paquet | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Jacquemot | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jacquemot | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Jacquemot | 79c | 101.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Paquet | 53c | 92.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0747…7e58backed Paquet | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Jacquemot | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b85…187fbacked Paquet | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 17cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Jacquemot | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Paquet | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Paquet | 44c | 45.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…6fbdbacked Jacquemot | 72c | 33.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…f56abacked Jacquemot | 79c | 26.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed Jacquemot | 68c | 15.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…8187backed Jacquemot | 77c | 13.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.