Tennis · resolved market
ATP Finals: Zverev vs. Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffac6ad2fc65e37cf21f3e2b08b8857528437bb1cb930625f5e8347b0ba66724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3168…6734backed Ruud | 20c | 2,577$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Zverev | 80c | 2,286$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Ruud | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ruud | 15c | 1,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Ruud | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Ruud | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Ruud | 15c | 623.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Ruud | 18c | 421$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…7762backed Ruud | 20c | 360.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Ruud | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Ruud | 12c | 213.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Ruud | 16c | 122.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…5788backed Ruud | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4525…265dbacked Ruud | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Ruud | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Zverev | 78c | 98.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Ruud | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Ruud | 16c | 64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.