Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffad2c0b4e1fe4d387e0b5a1b11e4d0b8797351be41f23a6578c5a3745c307fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Dark Passage, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Dark Passage | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Dark Passage | 1c | 1,300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 176 | 6.3%11 W · 165 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 1,025$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dark Passage | 27c | 849.48$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.37 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Dark Passage | 11c | 749.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 648.69$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 600$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Dark Passage | 25c | 556$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 437.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Dark Passage | 23c | 310$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 275.52$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dark Passage | 20c | 169.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 152.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dark Passage | 13c | 114.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Dark Passage | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Dark Passage | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…1770backed Dark Passage | 24c | 43.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BW (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.