Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce81b11b11a2cddb1d49f462a9018e2fdfd1866bf598e54e1951a049beb4a5cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Dark Passage, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Dark Passage | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dark Passage | 1c | 4,044$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Dark Passage | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Dark Passage | 16c | 520.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Dark Passage | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Dark Passage | 2c | 484.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked Dark Passage | 9c | 437.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dark Passage | 12c | 403.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Dark Passage | 17c | 384.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Dark Passage | 3c | 362.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 235.2$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Dark Passage | 14c | 206.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Dark Passage | 21c | 175.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dark Passage | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked Dark Passage | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 420 | 2.6%11 W · 409 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Dark Passage | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Dark Passage | 20c | 98.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Dark Passage | 21c | 96.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…7a67backed Dark Passage | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Dark Passage | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dark Passage | 18c | 89.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed Dark Passage | 24c | 82.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2c…f823backed Dark Passage | 19c | 55.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Dark Passage | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: BW (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.