CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffb1eb1afc90d7940a2fe0c034f85dc8142f14e48e4d8f98c5b326f31ead719d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof Acend, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Acend | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Acend | 34c | 894.88$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Acend | 3c | 664.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 606.86$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Acend | 49c | 562.38$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 381.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.36 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Acend | 32c | 324$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 228.69$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 228.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 183.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Acend | 51c | 181$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Acend | 28c | 82.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…0265backed Acend | 44c | 66.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…d2b3backed Acend | 45c | 55.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Acend | 55c | 54.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 49.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc177…3200backed Acend | 47c | 29.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 27.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Acend | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…f485backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 66c | 18.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
- Map Handicap: ACE (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)ex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.