Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Santander Men: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Jordi Garcia Mestre
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc3c9e873b37e90a88d579bdd33014ab729982031013ec3451a222a96084cb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jordi Garcia Mestreof Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento, Jordi Garcia Mestre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 40c | 1,809$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jordi Garcia Mestre | 64c | 729.34$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.66 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Jordi Garcia Mestre | 60c | 509.68$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.68 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jordi Garcia Mestre | 51c | 485.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 55c | 227.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Jordi Garcia Mestre | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 64c | 159.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 32c | 156.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 40c | 125.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Jordi Garcia Mestre | 59c | 125.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jordi Garcia Mestre | 44c | 118.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 12c | 105.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Jordi Garcia Mestre | 68c | 81.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 36c | 62.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jordi Garcia Mestre | 40c | 54.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Jordi Garcia Mestre | 69c | 51.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 41c | 45.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 48c | 35.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…07dfbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 42c | 29.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 35c | 28.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 37c | 26.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Jordi Garcia Mestre | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Jordi Garcia Mestre | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.