TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x010e…7bbe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
17
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zug: Daniel Rincon vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.87
Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.36
Hamburg European Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sinja Krausbacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$106.76
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.89
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.6
Segovia: Yi Zhou vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Winnipeg: Justin Boulais vs Johannus Mondaybacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$145.9
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Palermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Alevtina Ibragimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+278.5%+$83.25
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Massimo Giuntabacked Massimo Giunta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bloomfield Hills: Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadanbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bloomfield Hills: Andres Martin vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+234.6%+$258.06
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Hamburg European Open: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+545.5%+$239.57
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.