Serie A · one pick
Wallet 0x187b…f545 got this right.
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x187b4714062d0ddfeed7b736de6a07cefa2cf545/m/0xca98c71a689fbb555673473e19cf01de343b8218fc2b61ff403d5914d7ab2422
Rebuilt .
What this wallet called, and what happened
- Backed
- Noat 39c — the average price it paid on that side
- What happened
- No won · US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Position
- 42.41 shares$17 spent on the side it backed
- P/L held to resolution
- +$25.75+154.6% on this pick, not cash withdrawn
TailMyPicks grades a pick on the market’s winning outcome whether or not the wallet sold beforehand — buying the winner at 40c and selling at 80c is still a correct forecast. Backed is the side left once opposing buys cancel each other share for share, so a fully hedged market yields no pick at all.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
One call is not a record. Here is this wallet’s whole Serie A record.
| Wallet | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x187b…f545in Serie A | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
These 7 columns describe every qualified pick this wallet holds in Serie A and say nothing about the market above. vs expected is the number of wins over what the prices it paid already implied, which is what separates a forecaster from somebody who bought favourites.
From here
- This wallet’s whole record, category by categoryEvery category it is scored in, with the ones below 50 counted as loudly as the ones above.
- Everyone who was on this market349 wallets hold a qualified pick here, largest position first, each with its Serie A record.
- Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The venue’s own page for the question. TailMyPicks never calls Polymarket while rendering — this is a link you follow, not a request this page makes.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.