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Wallet 0x280d…2dc2

Rebuilt .

Best in NHL682 qualified picks$54,721 staked13 of 25 categories below 50first seen Aug 21, 2026, EDT

Score by category

The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.25 categories, best first

Parlays in detail

38-0.11 edge/pickInactiveSee the full Parlays board
Qualified picksEvery pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
304
Win rateHow often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
11.8% 36 W · 268 L
vs expectedWins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
-34.9
Realizable edgePer qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
-0.11
Avg entryThe average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
23c
ROI per pickThe average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
-57.3%
StakedThe money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
$22,289
When it betsWhether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
—no start of play
HoldsHow long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. When it bets says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
—no market to hold
At your priceWhat a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
—no market price
Last settledThe day this wallet’s latest qualified pick in this category settled. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Oct 27, 2026, EDT

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

You’d be -$8,712.91 tailing 304 Parlays picks (36 W · 268 L) at $50 each: -57.3% per pick.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Parlays picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet. It counts every pick settled before the nightly update of Nov 8, 2026, EST.

Parlays picks

SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSanta Cruz 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Arklon Del Pino AND Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna AND Santa Cruz 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena AND Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)33c$23-100%-$23.28
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSanta Cruz 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Arklon Del Pino AND Santa Cruz 2: Hernan Casanova vs Juan Manuel La Serna AND Santa Cruz 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Facundo Mena AND Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Los Niños (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage6 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)30c$100-100%-$100
Oct 27, 2026, EDTSanta Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Arklon Del Pino AND Counter-Strike: ex-Keyd Stars vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs Los Niños (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage AND Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-10-13?4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)37c$100-100%-$100
Oct 27, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina AND Olbia: Laurent Lokoli vs Georgii Kravchenko AND Maia: Kimmer Coppejans vs Vilius Gaubas AND Counter-Strike: Just Swing vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)41c$100-100%-$100
Oct 27, 2026, EDTMallorca: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Ida Wobker AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Marta Kostyuk AND Lisbon: Martina Colmegna vs Francesca Jones AND Jinan: Tomas Machac vs Alexandre Muller AND Maia: Benjamin Hassan vs Zsombor Piros AND Rovereto: Antonia Ruzic vs Anna Siskova6 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)47c$59-100%-$58.92
Oct 27, 2026, EDTMallorca: Daria Yesypchuk vs Carole Monnet AND Olbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Zeynep Sonmez AND Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci AND LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Lilli Tagger vs Nikola Bartunkova AND Olbia: Samuele Pieri vs Daniel Rincon AND Jinan: Facundo Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki8 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)10c$100-100%-$100
Oct 27, 2026, EDTOlbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Jelena Ostapenko AND Jinan: Elias Ymer vs Mattia Bellucci AND Jinan: Fajing Sun vs Jie Cui AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Katie Boulter vs Diana Shnaider AND Jinan: Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Daria Snigur vs Elise Mertens AND Wuhan Tennis Open: Lilli Tagger vs Nikola Bartunkova AND Olbia: Samuele Pieri vs Daniel Rincon10 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)7c$100-100%-$100
Oct 25, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik AND Counter-Strike: MORROW vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group A AND Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Misa Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In AND Counter-Strike: STATE vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Playoffs4 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)47c$20-100%-$19.51
Oct 25, 2026, EDTHawai'i vs. Arizona State AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto AND Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Kamilla Rakhimova AND Jinan: Siddhant Banthia vs James McCabe AND Jinan: Hayato Matsuoka vs Qian Sun AND Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Daria Kasatkina AND Boise State vs. Fresno State AND Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Elite Klan (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino AND Suzhou: Rebecca Sramkova vs Kyoka Okamura AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou AND Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-10-11?12 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)18c$40-100%-$40
Oct 24, 2026, EDTHawai'i vs. Arizona State AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto AND Jinan: Hayato Matsuoka vs Qian Sun AND Kings vs. Golden Knights AND Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Aoi Ito AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea AND Ducks vs. Flames AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yi Zhou9 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)10c$50-100%-$50
Oct 24, 2026, EDTHawai'i vs. Arizona State AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Rei Sakamoto AND Central Arkansas vs. Abilene Christian AND Minnesota vs. Purdue AND Jinan: Hayato Matsuoka vs Qian Sun AND Kings vs. Golden Knights AND Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Aoi Ito AND UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) AND Boise State vs. Fresno State AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea AND Louisiana vs. Louisiana Tech AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino AND Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians13 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)7c$37-100%-$37.43
Oct 24, 2026, EDTTarleton State vs. Austin Peay AND Nevada vs. UTEP AND Stars vs. Penguins AND Utah vs. Sabres AND UAB vs. Memphis AND Northern Colorado vs. Eastern Washington AND Coastal Carolina vs. Marshall AND Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-10?8 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)48c$19-100%-$18.9
Oct 24, 2026, EDTTarleton State vs. Austin Peay AND Nevada vs. UTEP AND Northern Colorado vs. Eastern Washington AND Coastal Carolina vs. Marshall AND West Georgia vs. Eastern Kentucky AND Will FC Dallas win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-10? AND Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-10?8 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)66c$100-100%-$100
Oct 24, 2026, EDTTarleton State vs. Austin Peay AND Nevada vs. UTEP AND Northern Colorado vs. Eastern Washington AND Coastal Carolina vs. Marshall AND Cal Poly vs. Idaho State AND West Georgia vs. Eastern Kentucky AND Kansas vs. Utah AND Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-10? AND Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-10?10 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)40c$100-100%-$100
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Galorys vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs AND Utah Tech vs. Portland State AND UCLA vs. Oregon AND Illinois vs. Michigan State AND Wild vs. Panthers AND UConn vs. Temple AND Stony Brook vs. Towson AND Incarnate Word vs. Lamar8 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)49c$100-100%-$100
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Galorys vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BORRACHEIROS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs AND Tulsa vs. Navy AND Mississippi Valley State vs. Texas Southern AND UCLA vs. Oregon AND Southern University vs. Prairie View A&M AND Illinois vs. Michigan State AND Buffalo vs. Toledo AND Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State AND UConn vs. Temple AND Stony Brook vs. Towson AND Duke vs. Georgia Tech12 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)21c$100-100%-$100
Oct 24, 2026, EDTNorth Carolina vs. Pittsburgh AND Arizona vs. West Virginia AND Tulane vs. Army3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)49c$60-100%-$59.88
Oct 24, 2026, EDTSouth Carolina State vs. Charleston Southern AND Samford vs. Chattanooga AND Dartmouth vs. Yale AND Indiana vs. Nebraska AND North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh AND Old Dominion vs. Appalachian State AND East Tennessee State vs. The Citadel AND South Carolina vs. Florida AND Tulane vs. Army AND Rice vs. East Carolina10 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)12c$100-100%-$100
Oct 24, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: GamerLegion vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: THE UNIT vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)18c$100-100%-$100
Oct 24, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda AND Villena: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Daniil Glinka AND Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs AND Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)30c$100-100%-$100
Oct 23, 2026, EDTKraken vs. Red Wings AND Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs KZG (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group A AND Columbia vs. Marist3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)48c$13-100%-$12.88
Oct 23, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Alter Ego vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: ENCE Prospects vs Passion Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A AND Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #8 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: THE UNIT vs Not A Squad Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PURE (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)48c$10-100%-$10
Oct 23, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: Honvéd vs 6666 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group C AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti AND Counter-Strike: CTRL Esports vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C AND Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Playoffs AND Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09?6 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)34c$13-100%-$12.51
Oct 23, 2026, EDTCounter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: STATE vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Playoffs AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)50c$11-100%-$11.3
Oct 23, 2026, EDTShanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev AND Suzhou: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Elvina Kalieva AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli AND Suzhou: Katarina Zavatska vs Renata Zarazua AND Counter-Strike: regain vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs The Audacity (BO3) - MESA Pro Series Playoffs AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu AND Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Frances Tiafoe AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima11 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)14c$50-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 304 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
About this page

What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry figures of each category tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why this page scores each category on its own rather than as one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.