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Parlay

Parlays · one parlay

0xa144…fc6c’s 21-leg parlay did not come in.

A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins.

Rebuilt .

Ticket
21 legs at 8cat least one leg did not come in, and the ticket paid nothing
Settled
Aug 25, 2026, EDTwhen the window for its payment closed · US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets
Position
238.75 shares$19 staked on the ticket
P/L held to the end
-$19-100% on this parlay, not cash withdrawn

The price is for the whole ticket, including the market maker’s margin. A parlay is priced by a professional, not traded against other wallets, and no price is published for a single leg anywhere. 18 of the 21 legs below came in and 3 did not.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored: positions held to the end, in markets that passed the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance. Open positions are never counted on this site.

The 21 legs, and which of them came in

LegMarketNeededResult
1LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-InsSU EsportsCame in
2LoL: Barça eSports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pageBarça eSportsCame in
3LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendno qualified pick, so no pageBilibili GamingDid not
4LoL: Dynasty vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pageSenshi Esports ClubCame in
5LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Play-Insno qualified pick, so no pageBushido WildcatsCame in
6LoL: Baam Esports vs GnG Amazigh (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stageno qualified pick, so no pageBaam EsportsCame in
7LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-Inno qualified pick, so no pageRMD GamingCame in
8LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bno qualified pick, so no pageG2 NORDCame in
9LoL: Barcząca Esports vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pagedevils.oneCame in
10LoL: BRUTE vs Bohemian Guardians (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pageBRUTECame in
11LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Ano qualified pick, so no pageEintracht SpandauDid not
12LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pageBOMBA TeamCame in
13LoL: UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki vs DOCISK (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pageDOCISKCame in
14LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Ano qualified pick, so no pageROSSMANN CentaursCame in
15LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendno qualified pick, so no pageAnyone's LegendCame in
16LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bno qualified pick, so no pageTeam Orange GamingDid not
17LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pageUCAM Esports ClubCame in
18LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stageno qualified pick, so no pagePyramid IV EsportsCame in
19LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pageFrites Esports ClubCame in
20LoL: LEO vs Epic Avalanche (BO3) - NLC Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pageLEOCame in
21LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonno qualified pick, so no pageThe Secret Club EsportCame in

These legs were read from the Polygon blockchain, where Polymarket records what each parlay is made of. Each leg names its market by its identifier. They were not matched from the ticket’s wording, because one wrong match on one leg would reverse the verdict above without anyone noticing.

One ticket is not a record. Here is this wallet’s whole Parlays record.

What these columns mean
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
WalletQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa144…fc6cin Parlays13725.5%35 W · 102 L-6.4-0.0530c-17.1%46

These 7 columns cover every qualified parlay this wallet has. They say nothing about the ticket above. Most of this board sits below 50, and that is normal: a parlay is priced by a market maker who keeps a margin. So across the whole board, the average ticket was bought at 27.8c and won 19.6% of the time.

Where to go from here

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.