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When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

Wallets last checked .

AISettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 7 wallets, $2,003 · No: 11 wallets, $2,902 7 of 18 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xa245…fac2#52 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2010c-$2060
0x64b4…b21e#54 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$11224c-$111.9560
0x9bd7…96d3#63 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1932c-$18.8460
0xd0de…2ef6#78 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3645c-$3659
Top 51 to 200
0x5f03…2634#75 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$16329c+$394.4459
0x564f…7026#84 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$12429c+$303.7859
0x11f8…ed31#86 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$7613c+$493.3458
0x4207…b81b#89 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$229c+$219.3658
0x8824…ff96#98 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3075c-$29.858
0xc833…eec3#103 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2461c-$24.458
0xd5e2…bd16#107 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$32565c-$32558
0x9aeb…2729#112 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$60565c-$605.3558
0x5a0d…fa97#130 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$6456c-$64.457
0xf9ac…806e#139 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$4242c+$5857
0x876b…1703#143 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1,64233c-$1,641.7357
0x5ecd…0787#158 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,54471c+$643.5557
0xae91…0f69#162 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$3233c+$63.8957
0xe3b3…99a5#296 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2446c-$24.255

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 1 wallet, $138 · No: 0 wallets, $0 0 of 1 wallet backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of AI when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
Top 51 to 200
0x564f…7026#84 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$13811c-$138.3259

92 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

26 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

3 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

38 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

4 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

1 other settled market of this event is not shown: no top wallet of the time held a qualified pick on it.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.