Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x003e72ca81e39dc397a1fbd3f173af9e56b1a7312ddcd53e412d283b2ff431a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,098 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 23c | 5,598$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.95 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 2,103$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.06 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 1,299$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.51 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 883.4$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 767.07$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 751.36$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.16 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 701.92$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Lynx | 32c | 699.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Lynx | 27c | 556.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Lynx | 10c | 549.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 322.41$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 311.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 250.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx | 46c | 203.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 16c | 188.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Team Lynx | 26c | 184.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 153.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Team Lynx | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 99.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 98.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…4a9fbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Team Lynx | 16c | 74.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 73.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 69.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Lynx | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…7824backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 18.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…bc3abacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 12.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.