Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051dc10d212f8730a4d12061176596c34459b3f4e2b8bdfabc2f46ae3ee940f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Zero Tenacity, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,341 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Team Lynx | 76c | 2,943$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.24 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 2,037$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.6 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 1,997$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.06 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 67c | 1,432$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.15 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 11c | 1,311$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.37 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Lynx | 66c | 1,039$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Lynx | 76c | 928.97$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.99 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Zero Tenacity | 4c | 705$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 615.63$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Lynx | 76c | 492.07$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee0…f8f9backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 490$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…2a20backed Team Lynx | 49c | 490$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 481.25$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 480$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed Team Lynx | 48c | 480$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 468.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 433.84$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 288.25$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Lynx | 44c | 232.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity | 18c | 168.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Lynx | 74c | 161.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 88.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Lynx | 71c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 38.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Team Lynx | 65c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked Team Lynx | 75c | 30.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Lynx | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 29.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Team Lynx | 75c | 22.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx | 77c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Team Lynx | 75c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.