Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0043d311e3763a5d6ceab24eb41b6e8eec3dd96052a39f3914bdf8a3e8b9da04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte 49ersof Charlotte 49ers, Rice Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Rice Owls | 53c | 7,400$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.97 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 7,205$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Charlotte 49ers | 48c | 5,299$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rice Owls | 52c | 5,025$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Rice Owls | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.86 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Charlotte 49ers | 48c | 817.31$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.24 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Rice Owls | 51c | 807.84$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Rice Owls | 50c | 199.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 178.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Rice Owls | 51c | 168.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…150dbacked Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Charlotte 49ers | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-5.5)this page
- Rice Owls vs. Charlotte 49ersCharlotte 49ers won
- Rice Owls vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.