Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rice Owls vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb52f1b2f59d40e9ccd16962985d0ace3391218fded8466acfaa77717db4cba0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 51c | 48,515$24,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,769.08 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 49c | 37,000$18,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,870 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 52c | 11,425$5,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.99 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.08 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 49c | 3,075$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.68 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,986$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 48c | 1,708$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.33 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 48c | 1,110$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 1,107$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.71 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 48c | 656.25$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.25 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 49c | 480$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 49c | 462.5$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 281$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.12 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 49c | 102.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 22c | 79.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 49c | 38.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rice Owls vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 142.5this page
- Rice Owls vs. Charlotte 49ersCharlotte 49ers won
- Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-5.5)Charlotte 49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.