Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rice Owls vs. Charlotte 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869f095a789c2aad22237cda243a60b83f777cdead1d9abd752c71d451f2d8f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte 49ersof Rice Owls, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rice Owls | 18c | 5,326$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rice Owls | 6c | 1,361$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rice Owls | 32c | 1,099$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Rice Owls | 21c | 547.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Charlotte 49ers | 77c | 506.86$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Charlotte 49ers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Charlotte 49ers | 74c | 417.12$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Charlotte 49ers | 75c | 400.38$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Charlotte 49ers | 68c | 323.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Rice Owls | 21c | 295.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Rice Owls | 30c | 202.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Rice Owls | 33c | 164.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Charlotte 49ers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Charlotte 49ers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…f593backed Rice Owls | 35c | 114.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rice Owls | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Charlotte 49ers | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rice Owls | 32c | 96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 70c | 85.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rice Owls | 29c | 79.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Charlotte 49ers | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Charlotte 49ers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Charlotte 49ers | 64c | 27.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Charlotte 49ers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Charlotte 49ers | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Charlotte 49ers | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Charlotte 49ers | 79c | 13.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rice Owls vs. Charlotte 49ersthis page
- Rice Owls vs. Charlotte 49ers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-5.5)Charlotte 49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.