Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x004bdf5c4ce264329d970978b399b6e9b5fba41997bb31c9b45d8fee392b1525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 2,386$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 1,414$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.78 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Over | 78c | 1,172$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.33 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 42c | 902.85$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.65 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 79c | 740.55$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 79c | 654.06$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.71 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 392.28$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 325.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.87 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 55c | 302.01$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 292.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 56c | 210.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 56c | 209.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 187.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Over | 60c | 175.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 153.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 60c | 146.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 137.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 73c | 107.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 22c | 96.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 96.37$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 54c | 83.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 82.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 41c | 82.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 41c | 79.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 57c | 69.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 32c | 65.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 57.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 55c | 57.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 50.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed Over | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 54c | 44.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 64c | 38.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 65c | 36.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 55c | 33.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Over | 76c | 31.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 39c | 29.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 64c | 17.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 64c | 17.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…08a7backed Over | 78c | 14.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Braga vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Braga vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FC Arouca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)FC Arouca won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)FC Arouca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.