Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0054f45d3ed335c8ec58ba64fb13654c34ee463baaff4273b95eaf3fea577152
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 48c | 2,369$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.17 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 2,168$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 1,831$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 1,555$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.16 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 47c | 1,092$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.41 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm | 47c | 1,043$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 953.99$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.38 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 463.35$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 40c | 377.42$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 332.41$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 151.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 145.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 60c | 111$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 47c | 110.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 61c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 59.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 48c | 49.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 39.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed St. John's Red Storm | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 32.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed St. John's Red Storm | 48c | 29.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…e29dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…ecb3backed St. John's Red Storm | 79c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…df06backed St. John's Red Storm | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-14.5)this page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 154.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 155.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 156.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-13.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-15.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.