Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae522f8664fb92c237afe9d310f1d22c14d3224dc49b2575bf6fe462b709874a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 4,829$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.22 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 2,005$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.55 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,686$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 323.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 272.07$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 47c | 258$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 11c | 232.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 54c | 182$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 147$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 91.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 51.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 47c | 39.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 54c | 37.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 33.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 49c | 23.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 155.5this page
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 154.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 156.5Over won
- Marquette Golden Eagles vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-13.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-14.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-15.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.