Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x006ab473a886619b9d1ce8ced398dd106473d6323bb0859bf2a26df67e3f34ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M Aggiesof Auburn Tigers, Texas A&M Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.98 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 1,791$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.31 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 1,632$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.64 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 1,125$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 759.13$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 61c | 479.62$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 450$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 379$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.29 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Auburn Tigers | 44c | 244.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 191.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 113.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 82.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Auburn Tigers | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Auburn Tigers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 42.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Texas A&M Aggies | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Auburn Tigers | 62c | 25.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-6.5)this page
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Auburn TigersTexas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 164.5Over won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 165.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.